Since the acceleration of the highly contagious virus throughout the United States and his response to nationwide protests against police brutality, both national and swing state polls gauging outcomes of the 2020 election haven't been kind to President Donald Trump.
One CNN poll recently showed him trailing Democratic nominee Joe Biden by 14 points. A Fox News poll showed Biden narrowly beating Trump in reliably red states like Texas and Georgia. A poll from Public Policy Polling released today also forecast trouble for Trump in Georgia this November, with Biden reaching a four point lead. The President's favorite poll, openly conservative Rasmussen, found Trump's disapproval rating at 55 percent. His average popularity from FiveThirtyEight hovers around the same.Trump's polling has gotten so bad that a recent report from Fox Business correspondent Charlie Gasparino cited anonymous GOP operatives floating the possibility of Trump dropping out if the poll numbers don't improve.
The Trump campaign strongly dismissed Gasparino's report, and—according to a new tweet—the President isn't concerned with the numerous polls showing that his second term may not be guaranteed.
Trump insists that his campaign's internal voting paints an entirely different picture.
It may not come as a surprise that other information disputes this. A CNBC report released on Monday found that Trump's campaign took $16 million out of its massive war chest to spend on ads in battleground states. An ABC News piece reported that internal Trump campaign polling found the same results earlier this month. A Washington Post report confirmed that internal polling showed Trump trailing Biden significantly in swing states, including by 16 points in Pennsylvania.
CNBC found that Trump's internal polls show him losing in the swing state of Michigan and treading water in typically red states like Georgia and North Carolina.
Trump dismissed the polls, repeating the questionable talking point that polls were widely off in 2016. In reality, a RealClearPolitics average of polling in the 2016 election showed Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton winning by 3.2 percentage points. She won the popular vote by 2.1 points—the largest winning margin of any electoral college loser—but lost the electoral vote.
People ridiculed Trump's confidence that he'd win a second term.
People mocked Trump, joking that the internal polls weren't from the campaign, but from Trump's own mind.
Though polls look good for Democrats now, they'll need a robust turnout in November to have a hope of unseating Donald Trump.
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Dunning-Kruger Times