2018 midterm elections seem to favor Democratic candidates based on several special elections around the country in areas that heavily favored Republicans in 2016. However winning control of the Senate remains an uphill climb.
President Donald Trump's approval ratings are historically low. Multiple “generic ballot” polls also favor Democrats, so why isn't winning control of the Senate a slam dunk?
In the senate there are 34 seats up for grabs. The 100 seats of the United States Senate carry terms of 6 years, as opposed to the 2 year terms of the U.S. House of Representatives.
Every two years, an election is held for every seat in the House. However Senate races are staggered, so only one third of Senate seats are up for grabs in each general election cycle.
The current Senate consists of 51 Republicans, 47 Democrats, and 2 Independents that caucus with the Democrats. All ties in votes are broken by the President of the Senate, a position given to the Vice President of the United States.
In the 2018 midterms, the 34 Senate seats being contested are held by 26 Democrats and Independents that caucus with them to just 8 held by Republicans. In addition to maintaining every seat they currently hold, Democrats must also pick up some Republican held seats.
One of those vital Republican seats is in Tennessee where former Democratic Governor Phil Bredesen is up against current U.S. Representative Marsha Blackburn.
Former Governor Phil Bredesen and Representative Marsha Blackburn both vie for a U.S. Senate seat for Tennessee. (Getty Images)
A new poll shows Bredesen pulling into the lead ahead of Blackburn in Tennessee. Trump won there with almost 61 percent of the vote in the 2016 presidential election.
North Carolina-based Public Policy Polling asked Tennessee voters questions about the upcoming senate race, health care, and opinions on President Trump.
In the senate race, 46 favored Bredesen compared to 41 percent favoring Blackburn in the election. 13 percent remained undecided.
The Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee did their own poll to gauge voter feelings prior to Bredesen’s candidacy against Blackburn. Their survey, done 5 months earlier, came back with exactly the same numbers as Public Policy Polling.
Just 33 percent of poll respondents said they were Democrats. 43 percent claimed affiliation with the Republican Party. 23 percent identified as neither party.
@lpeterp/Bluesky
@FPWellman/X
@bobsbeatgmail.com5/Threads