Since his upset victory in 2016, President Donald Trump has frequently bragged about the electoral margin by which he beat Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton.
Clinton won the popular vote by nearly three million votes, but narrowly lost crucial swing states like Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, leaving the projected electoral college at 306 \votes to Trump and 232 to Clinton (two electors didn't cast votes for Trump despite their state's vote, while five did the same for Clinton, leaving the final certification total at 304-227).
For years, Trump would claim that he won the electoral college by the "biggest electoral college win since Ronald Reagan." Like 20+ thousand of the President's other statements since inauguration, this was false. Only four years before, former President Barack Obama won the electoral college with 332 votes. In reality, Trump's electoral victory was by the 46th largest margin of 58 elections.
Flash forward to 2020.
Votes continue to be counted in four states, the most crucial of which is Pennsylvania, which Trump can't lose and in which Democratic nominee Joe Biden's lead is growing.
In fact, Biden is leading in all four of the outstanding swing states: Pennsylvania, Georgia, Arizona, and Nevada.
If these leads hold, which many are expected to, the initial electoral tally will be:
306 for Biden, 232 for Trump.
In other words, Biden is currently on track to win against Trump with the same number of electoral votes that Trump won in 2016.
CNN Fact Checker Daniel Dale noted this and reminded people how frequently Trump sensationalized his 2016 victory margin.
It remains very possible that Biden will earn 306 electoral votes, precisely the number Trump earned in 2016 before faithless electors.
Here's how Trump has described such an Electoral College total: pic.twitter.com/KgUvV5GCEb
— Daniel Dale (@ddale8) November 6, 2020
(Note as always: Clinton earned 232 before faithless electors, not 223; Trump never says this correctly.)
— Daniel Dale (@ddale8) November 6, 2020
The rundown included Trump gems like:
"And then it got bigger and bigger and wilder and wilder, and then we won by a lot. Don't forget it was 306 to 223. That's a lot. Remember?"
And his claims of a "massive landslide victory":
"We had a massive landslide victory, as you know, in the Electoral College."
One that "the people haven't seen in a long time."
"We had a tremendous landslide, Electoral College victory the people haven't seen in a long time."
People were excited to see the karmic potential margin.
YOU LOVE TO SEE IT https://t.co/JbwveAyrA5
— Alex Wall (@AlexBWall) November 6, 2020
It's so sweet https://t.co/XwhjSJqAsa pic.twitter.com/S8dbc6M3WU
— spooky cela 🦇 (@chchchela) November 6, 2020
Instant karmas gonna get you, gonna knock you right on your head https://t.co/OQzms6D4pc
— Todd Struthers (@tstruthers1) November 6, 2020
Icing on the cake https://t.co/9x9PcVYm33
— V (@kayfinleyrose) November 6, 2020
There will be something particularly poetic if Biden wins by the same margin. I plan to laugh like a drain! https://t.co/k2XGVQwUQM
— Speddoc 🏡 😷🧍🏼♂️🧍🏽♀️🧍🏿👏🏻🇺🇸 (@Speddoc) November 6, 2020
Except, unlike in 2016, the 2020 likely electoral winner will have won the popular vote.
Except this time it is 306 with the popular vote. https://t.co/stgzoZzDRC
— (Don't Boo, Thank Black Women)-cas Dolan 😎🍦 (@mrldolan) November 6, 2020
Imagine getting 306 electoral votes and THE POPULAR VOTE! https://t.co/fmtlaIK2tF pic.twitter.com/8ABDG3965q
— Radical Radish (@radish2020) November 6, 2020
There will be a delightful symmetry if Biden gets exactly the same EC numbers but with popular vote. https://t.co/fyKSBFIQfn
— Christopher Probert (@tophe_probert) November 6, 2020
Yea, So...if Biden hits 306 electoral votes, which seems likely, plus he's got the popular vote by +4mil...
Can we call it a super duper landslide? https://t.co/PR3F0rKsYF
— Jay Speed (@JaySpeed) November 6, 2020
Votes across the nation continue to be counted.