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Math Is Here To Predict This Year's Oscar Winners Yet Again

Winn Sioux Christnot-Peters
Feb. 21, 2019
Handout / Handout / Getty Images

Ben Zauzmer, contributor to The Hollywood Reporter, has once again crunched the numbers and used statistical analysis to predict the winners for this year's Academy Awards. This year marks the 91st Academy Awards, and the 8th year that Zauzmer has predicted the winners.

Zauzmer is releasing his results in a Twitter moment, as well as on The Hollywood Reporter's website.

Here's a few highlights from the list, along with information about the films.

Best Picture:

Best Director:

Best Foreign Language Film:

Roma is a semi-autobiographical film about director Alfonso Cuarón's childhood growing up in Mexico City's Colonia Roma neighborhood. The film is set in 1970-1971, and follows the daily life of a housekeeper living with middle-class family in the neighborhood.

Roma has been nominated for 10 Academy Awards total, including Best Picture, Best Director, Best Foreign Language Film, Best Actress, and Best Supporting Actress.


Best Actor:

Bohemian Rhapsody is a biographical film about the rock group Queen. It focuses on the life of Queen singer Freddy Mercury from the time he joins the band until their 1985 Live Aid performance.

Rami Malek is nominated for Best Actor for his portrayal of Freddy Mercury in the film.



Best Actress

Glenn Close is nominated for Best Actress for her role in The Wife. The film follows Joan, the wife of a man who is about to be awarded a Nobel Prize for Literature, as she considers the many decisions she has made and the secrets she has kept over their 40 years of marriage.

Close has previously been nominated for an Academy Award 7 times, but has yet to win.



Best Supporting Actor:

Mahershala Ali is nominated for Best Supporting Actor for his role as Don Shirley, a brilliant black concert pianist on a concert tour through the Deep South in 1962. The film follows Shirley and his white bodyguard and driver Tony "Lip" Vallelonga during the tour.



Best Supporting Actress:

Regina King is nominated for Best Supporting Actress for her role as Sharon in If Beale Street Could Talk. The film follows the lives of Tish Rivers and her fiancé Alonzo "Fonny" Hunt as Tish copes with being pregnant and struggling to prover Fonny innocent of the crime he was arrested for. King plays Tish's mother Sharon.


Best Original Screenplay:

The Favorite has been nominated for Best Original Screenplay. It follows the life of Queen Anne, who is in poor health, in early 18th century England and her confidant Lady Sarah who governs the country for her.

The Favorite has also been nominated for 9 other Academy Awards, including Best Director, Best Costume Design, and Best Production Design.

Best Adapted Screenplay:

Spike Lee's BlacKkKlansman is nominated for Best Adapted Screenplay, as well as several other categories including Best Director and Best Film Score. The film depicts the story of Colorado Springs police officer Ron Stallworth as he works to infiltrate the local branch of the Ku Klux Klan in the 1970s.

The story is adapted from Ron Stallworth's memoir Black Klansman.

Best Animated Feature:

Spider Man: Into the Spider-Verse made waves this winter for its amazing animation and epic storytelling. The film is nominated for Best Animated Feature, and seems to have a pretty big lead over the competition.

Only time will tell whether Zauzmer's predictions prove accurate; we'll just have to watch the Academy Awards to see!