Human beings have never been great at predicting the future's technologies. After all, according to writers of the 40's and 50's, we should be zooming around in flying cars by now!
Past mistakes don't stop us from guessing at what tomorrow may bring, however. One recent example of a prediction gone slightly awry comes from Microsoft, who made some bold prediction as to what 2019 may bring all the way back in 2009! Their video got some things right and others things...well, not so right.
Microsoft in 2019 [HQ] youtu.be
While some aspects of Microsoft's prediction have come true (more smart devices, an increased number of screens, real-time video streaming to all parts of the world), the company went a bit overboard with other parts (computerized paper, bookmarks, and car keys, along with seemingly ubiquitous smart tables).
"I think main problem is batteries. And how f***ing useless nearly 90% of what they display in this ad."
"They also screwed up in assuming devices would be able to seamlessly talk to each other. It's still a fucking mess. I have two computers sitting beside each other that I both own. What's the easiest way to get a picture to the other one? Turns out it's sending it to myself on WhatsApp, logging into WhatsApp on the other machine and dragging it wherever. Pretty dumb. Ideally I could just drag it off the side of the screen and onto the other machine's screen space. That would be a baby step compared to this video's vision but we're nowhere close to that working seamlessly between different operating systems and types of devices. Edit: I know what network drives are and what network sharing is. Average joe doesn't, and seemingly neither do the people in Microsoft's futuristic vision of computers connecting together easily."
"Fingerprints. Fingerprints everywhere."
"Well, they still have today and tomorrow to catch up"
"I'm assuming everything shown could exist today, but would be very expensive and inconvenient. Except that auto animation generation nonsense."
"did they really think a schoolteacher could afford to fly first class in 2019?"
As people who have made it all the way from 2009 to 2019, the internet all took second to laugh at how silly we were back then and how SMART we are now.
How Microsoft imagined 2019 in 2009. From tomorrow on, expect displays everywhere! https://t.co/C509cGpwo7 via @YouTube— Simon Sagmeister 🇪🇺 (@Simon Sagmeister 🇪🇺)1546272735.0
But don't feel too bad about how far we've come! Though they weren't always the ones Microsoft expected, technology has truly taken a leap forward over the past decade.
my Microsoft 2019 predictions: • a spring event for HoloLens 2 and more Surface • a new Surface Pro with USB-C and… https://t.co/2IbLla0oKZ— Tom Warren (@Tom Warren)1546273824.0
Your friendly neighborhood #Mars rover here to remind you that raw images like these go straight from me to your br… https://t.co/yeKmVhjGJC— Curiosity Rover (@Curiosity Rover)1545448436.0
In 2018, The Atlantic's science, health, and technology team reported on how butterflies hear, who has the unhappie… https://t.co/U7VRvoIPlB— The Atlantic (@The Atlantic)1546227892.0
How many lines of code? Apollo 11: 145,000 Mars Curiosity Rover: 2,500,000 Android OS: 12,000,000 LHC: 50,000,000… https://t.co/VDf9sz6Lmc— Andréia Bohner (@Andréia Bohner)1546274748.0
Here's to the amazing new technologies of 2019!
@Hadrians_Gate @theresa_palfrey My Uncle had a Cochlea implant this year and it has given him his life back after g… https://t.co/AjUjkOCZXa— Andrew York (@Andrew York)1546273905.0
Yes, in 2018 we met the robot that can do parkour. Is 2019 the year the robots finally take over? https://t.co/hXuVyVp5QI— WIRED (@WIRED)1546219829.0
When people’s lifes are at stake, and #Artificialintelligence can make odds better, it’s an amazing development. Wa… https://t.co/iblbewmOj3— Arjen van Berkum (@Arjen van Berkum)1545950294.0