Skip to content
Search AI Powered

Latest Stories

Nate Silver Just Put the Democrats' Accomplishment in the MIdterm Elections Into Historic Perspective, and It's Actually a Really Impressive Feat

Whoa.

Five Thirty-Eight Editor-In-Chief Nate Silver crunched the numbers and discovered that Democrats' victory in the midterms is much bigger than conventional wisdom suggests.

Nationwide, Democratic U.S. House candidates raked in more than 60 million votes, which Silver notes is comparable to what recent Republican presidential candidates have gained nationwide.


Silver's point: that just doesn't happen.

"Trump got 63m votes, Romney 61m, McCain 60m," Silver tweeted Monday. "Dem votes for the House this year should be very close to that range."

This is unprecedented, according to Silver's analysis.

"There's not any precedent for an opposition party coming this close to matching the president's vote total from 2 years earlier," Silver explained. "The closest to an exception was when Democratic House candidates in 1970 got 92% of Nixon's vote total from 1968."

Silver argues these astounding numbers are indicative of the deep unpopularity of President Donald Trump. The other factors fueling Democrats' momentum, Silver believes, are: "1) Trump was elected despite losing the popular vote; 2) D's won by a big margin this year and 3) Turnout was VERY high."

Silver also said the media have yet to accept how low Trump's poll numbers are, again emphasizing that Democrats got more than 15 million more votes in 2018 than Republicans did when they swept the 2010 midterm elections.

Trump is less popular today than President Barack Obama was at the same point in his first term.

But unlike Obama, Trump was never popular to begin with.

People who disapprove of Trump are hopeful that the trend continues into 2020, when the presidency, the entire U.S.  House, and 33 Senate seats are up for grabs.

Some, however, think that Trump's illusions about his own popularity and competence will only continue to help Democrats.

As Silver pointed out, Republicans got clobbered in California, and Trump deserves credit.

In conservative Orange County, for example, Democrats claimed victory in all seven Congressional races. So far, Democrats have picked up a total of 38 U.S House seats.

Others believe the media is still too friendly to Trump, and that the normalization of his extreme rhetoric is dangerous.

Trump could be headed for a tough fight in 2020.

The blue wave was very real.

More from People

Screenshot of Roger Marshall
Newsmax

MAGA Senator Slammed After Scolding Americans For Whining About High Gas Prices Amid Iran War—And Wow

Kansas Republican Senator Roger Marshall chastised Americans for complaining about high gas prices and insisted they should consider that their "national security is even more important" than whatever blows are being dealt to their wallets at the gas pump.

Consumer prices are up 3.3% compared to a year ago, largely fueled by a surge in energy costs. The energy index jumped 10.9% in a single month as oil and gas prices climbed sharply. Amid the Iran war and the U.S. blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, oil has risen back to around $100 a barrel, pushing gasoline prices up by a record 25%.

Keep ReadingShow less
Photo and tweet by X user @oatmilkanie
@oatmilkanie/X

Kid Goes Viral After Leaving Sweet Note On Plane For The Person Sitting In Their Seat On The Next Flight

A lot is going on in our world right now that gives us pause, and some of us might feel our hearts breaking under the weight of all of it. That makes acts of kindness, no matter how small they are, more important than ever before.

X user @oatmilkanie shouted out an unidentified child who clearly got the memo when they boarded a plane and discovered that the child had written a note for the next person to sit in their seat, directly on the paper nausea bag that's snuggled in the seat pocket in front of the passenger's knees.

Keep ReadingShow less
Screenshots from @kndllleclaire's TikTok video
@kndllleclaire/TikTok

TikToker Thinks She's Met Her Dream Cowboy At A Bar—But The Internet Has Some Bad News For Her

Sometimes when you meet someone, everything goes so perfectly that you can't help but imagine that it's meant to be.

But one of the harder lessons in life is that, regardless of how perfect the match is, the person may not be as single as they might present themselves to be.

Keep ReadingShow less
Screenshots from @jamar.marriott's Instagram video
@jamar.marriott/Instagram

Dad Goes Viral After Filming His Daughters' Hilariously Dramatic Reaction To Sinking In A Ball Pit

Kids truly say the darnedest things, but there's nothing quite like watching kids play together and invent stories.

33-year-old dad Jamar Marriott was out with his three daughters, Jaida (6), Olivia (8), and Maya (16) at the local trampoline park, which includes an impressively large ball pit.

Keep ReadingShow less
Screenshots from @mich3113.0's TikTok video
@mich3113.0/TikTok

Woman Creeped All The Way Out After Finding Hidden Door In The Ceiling Of Her Airbnb

A lot of us already cannot sleep well when we're visiting someone else's home or staying in a hotel, because we're uncomfortable in a different bed and maybe even a little creeped out in the unusual space.

But discovering a whole other room with a creepy door would quickly transform a space from a rental to something out of a horror movie real quick for anybody.

Keep ReadingShow less